While hyperinflation is rare it has occurred many times throughout history and even as recently as 2016 in Venezuela. Hyperinflation can also adversely affect investors. So, what is it exactly and why does it occur?
Inflation is the measure of the pace of rising prices for goods and services, and hyperinflation occurs when inflation rises rapidly and excessively. Typically when prices rise 50% over a month period and continues to rise that is considered hyperinflation. When hyperinflation occurs a loaf of bread could be one price in the morning and another price in the afternoon.
Hyperinflation usually stems from two main issues, which are often linked and happen simultaneously. The first occurs when the printing of money doesn’t match the rate of economic growth. Governments may choose to do this to cover the cost of their spending. However, it creates a large supply of money with little demand for it, leading to the real value of the domestic currency eroding at a rapid rate.
The second root cause is called demand-pull inflation, and it occurs when there is a surge of demand that outstrips supply. As the value of a currency falls, prices increase as those who hold the currency try to get rid of it at a rapid rate, knowing that they can buy more with it today then they can tomorrow.
Political instability and war can also cause hyperinflation, the value of a currency can fall when people lose confidence in the government that backs the currency.
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is used to track inflation, it measures household inflation. The Australian Bureau of Statistics will report on the CPI each quarter. On average the quarterly inflation rate from July 2018 to today was 1.5%. Although, in the latest quarter inflation rose to 3.8%. However, this is still far cry from hyperinflation in which the inflation rate can grow 50% in a month.
According to Morning Star, there are some signs that you can look for that indicate a rise in inflation. One sign is a rise in interest rates. As high prices for goods and services can lead to hardship for some consumers the Reserve Bank will generally try to avoid this. They will typically raise interest rates in an attempt to slow down the economy and in turn slow down inflation.
Another key area to keep an eye on is the price of raw-materials, such as copper and lumber. They are economically sensitive materials that are generally needed for new housing construction, for example. If the price of these base commodities rises sharply it could mean that demand outstrips supply and high inflation is on the cards. A rise in price for precious metals like gold and silver is also another indication of a rise in inflation.
Hyperinflation can be devastating for investors. The goal of most investors is to get ahead of inflation, which can be almost impossible to do during times of hyperinflation. Additionally, when hyperinflation occurs it is typically at a time of poor economic growth or during a depression -both of which are not ideal environments for investors. This is because it typically leads to low earnings forecasts for companies and lower equity prices for investors.
This article was reviewed by our Content Producer Isabella Shoard before it was updated, as part of our fact-checking process.
Try our Investor Hub comparison tool to instantly compare Canstar expert rated options.
This advice is general and has not taken into account your objectives, financial situation, or needs. It is not personal advice. Consider whether this advice is right for you, having regard to your own objectives, financial situation and needs. You may need financial advice from a suitably qualified adviser. For more information, read Canstar’s Financial Services and Credit Guide (FSCG) and our detailed disclosure. Canstar may receive a fee for referring you to a product provider – for further information, see how we get paid.
Canstar is a comparison website, not a product issuer, so it’s important to check any product information directly with the provider. Consider the Product Disclosure Statement (PDS), Target Market Determination (TMD) and other applicable product documentation before making a decision to purchase, acquire, invest in or apply for a financial or credit product. Contact the product issuer directly for a copy of the PDS, TMD and other documentation.
Canstar is an information provider and in giving you product information Canstar is not making any suggestion or recommendation about a particular credit product or loan. If you decide to apply for a credit product or loan, you will deal directly with a credit provider, and not with Canstar. Rates and product information should be confirmed with the relevant credit provider. For more information, read the credit provider’s key facts sheet and other applicable loan documentation for that product. Read the Comparison Rate Warning.
All information about performance returns is historical. Past performance should not be relied upon as an indicator of future performance; unit prices and the value of your investment may fall or rise.
Canstar is an information provider and in giving you product information Canstar is not making any suggestion or recommendation about a particular product. The information has been prepared without taking into account your individual investment objectives, financial circumstances or needs. Before you decide whether or not to acquire a particular financial product you should assess whether it is appropriate for you in the light of your own personal circumstances, having regard to your own objectives, financial situation and needs. You may wish to obtain financial advice from a suitably qualified adviser before making any decision to acquire a financial product. Please refer to the product disclosure statement (PDS) and Canstar’s Financial Services and Credit Guide (FSCG) for more information, and read our detailed disclosure, important notes and liability disclaimer.
Canstar may earn a fee for referrals from its website tables, and from Sponsorship or Promotion of certain products. Fees payable by product providers for referrals and Sponsorship or Promotion may vary between providers, website position, and revenue model. Sponsorship or Promotion fees may be higher than referral fees. Sponsored or Promotion products are clearly disclosed as such on website pages. They may appear in a number of areas of the website such as in comparison tables, on hub pages and in articles. Sponsored or Promotion products may be displayed in a fixed position in a table, regardless of the product's rating, price or other attributes. The table position of a Sponsored or Promoted product does not indicate any ranking or rating by Canstar. For more information please see How We Get Paid.
*We are Australia’s Biggest Financial Comparison Site. Click here to learn more
This advice is general and has not taken into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. Consider whether this advice is right for you. Consider the product disclosure statement and target market determination before making a purchase decision. Canstar provides an information service. It is not a credit provider, and in giving you information about credit products Canstar is not making any suggestion or recommendation to you about a particular credit product. Research provided by Canstar Research AFSL and Australian Credit Licence No. 437917.